If you have 100 voters on a street and these voters reflected the votes in the general election then you would find that five people had changed their mind. They voted for Labour previously but this time they voted for the Tories.
I was listening to local radio on Friday and I heard a Tory politician talk of the Labour government being thrown out of office. In effect a few people have changed their minds and the next time you hear politicians talking about the decisive nature of a victory then think about this street. Hardly anything has changed in the way people vote but the results don't show this.
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But those 100 people don't all go cast their vote...some abstain. That is the whole problem.
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